The Occupy Movement in Three Acts

In these doldrumy months of winter, the Occupy Movement has a lot of challenges. Cold is the most immediate hurdle, but there’s another one lurking. Foreverness. The Movement is young. But, already I see signs of mere continuance rather than a second act and then a third act in which something beyond the first act of creating awareness happens. The second act is where all the really insane, future-oriented hard work happens. In terms of focus, I haven’t seen that yet. Some of this can be attributed to the decentralized nature of the movement. That’s understandable and desirable, however, it seems to me that it has one glaring quality that, in the short term, is a strength but in the long term is a terrible weakness. The Occupy Movement is a still a ‘youth’ movement.

I don’t want to be misunderstood here. By ‘youth’ movement I don’t mean that it’s predominantly made up of young people. Although, it’s certainly the case that those college students and recent graduates now or soon entering the “marketplace of ideas” we call employment are really hurting in terms of debt and opportunity. There’s also no question that young people do make up the bulk of the movement, but they’re by no means immature. No, by ‘youth’ movement I mean that, in its current undeveloped state, the movement is highly susceptible to fashionable attitudes and peer joining tendencies that do not contribute to the movement’s development one whit in the longer term. I fear that the longer the movement exists in it’s current state, the more likely it is that, in the future, development toward a new model will be perceived as betraying the movement itself. This can be seen in any movement, of course, but I believe that the development of a kind of unreasoned ideological purity would kill Occupy quicker than can be believed.

As things stand, the movement is starting to become mired in evictions, and a lot of the things I hear, see, and read have to do with maintaining encampments and keeping the energy up. This is a direct result of public officials having already figured out how to beat them. Regrouping, reorganizing, and planting the flag anew is extremely important but it also plays into a trap.

Movements get evicted, they reorganize, they regroup, and they re-occupy. Now, how long did that take? How much energy did that take? Then, just as the movement settles in again, authorities come along and make you move again which is to say nothing of the logistical difficulties in finding temporary lodging for the movement in the meantime. This is called wearing down your opponent and, while youth has great energy, cops and public officials are getting paid for this fight. How do you beat this? You have to change the rules by which you’re engaging. While I understand that there are multiple fights happening on multiple fronts they all seem to bear the same hallmarks and share similar playbooks. They are and aspire to be protest movement tactics and that’s what I mean by young. Largely, besides voting and campaign work, protesting is the only thing that young people are truly qualified to do in a representative democracy. They’re good at it and it’s important and it brings change. However, it does not result in the kind of broad changes in the Federal and State legislatures that the movement ultimately wants and that I want. There are limits to what protesting accomplishes if those protests do not essentially transform the protesters themselves.

What I mean by protestors being transformed is that people have got to start running for office and it has to happen soon. I know that’s an extremely broad demand, but that work must become a primary focus not only from both a simple longevity, messaging, standpoint but also from a marketing standpoint. Movement members in their current incarnation can’t be the ones doing it because candidates are the ones that do these sorts of things, and protestors are not candidates. Progressives absolutely shouldn’t count on protests convincing our elected representatives that they should adopt sane, middle class centric policies. The Democratic Party, which the Occupy Movement broadly affiliates with, is just as troubled as the GOP even though it’s not crazy. The leader of the Party is basically a Ronald Reagan with a dash of Clinton thrown in, and the Party itself is very much the same taken as a whole.

We will not be able to get these people to do what we want them to do. It’s against their interests to do so. Besides, there’s no reason they should when the alternative is Santorum banning condoms or Rick Perry nuking Tehran. Voting Democrats, specifically Progressives, are disgusted with the Democratic Party and rightly so. There’s no alternative emerging either within or without the Party that has the sheer people power of Occupy. If the Occupy Movement does not start producing Progressive candidates to run for office then the worst thing for the Occupy Movement will come to be. The movement will merely continue, and continue, and continue. This would be bad for the movement, yes, but it would be terrible for the Middle Class issues it champions. The movement would become noise and it would simply linger, toothless. Its ideas will be seen as trite because it’s supporters won’t be seen as serious.

Now that the Occupy Congress action on January 17 has come and gone, local movements need to get organized for a different kind of action. Go home, pick the local and regional offices you can win or that need to be contested, have a primary via General Assembly approved candidates, and absolutely refrain from choosing protest candidates. This would be the Movement’s second act.

 

Run to win. Pick candidates with backgrounds that are conducive to winning. No 25-year-old grad students or career civil rights activists without a lot of other kinds of qualifications. No environmental candidates. No feminist candidates. No marriage equality candidates. No offense to any of these groups with which I broadly agree but if you’re going to run then you have to run to govern the majority and protest/special interest candidates are built to lose. This will be the Movement’s third act.

Let’s remember that it is not okay for a group that largely ascribes to a Progressive ideology to engage in only protest as it runs the risk of becoming a lifestyle.  The Occupy Movement aspires to real and continuing change, not a flash, however extensive, of good and decent activity. That’s why I say that it is an ideological requirement that Progressive members of the movement seek to govern. Encampments must transition to Representative Democracy. That’s what the American people need and that’s what we have to do.

 

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The Dukes of Yore

Who are the job creators of today? What does it mean to create a job? By that last question I mean where does the capitol come from to create that job? It either comes from profit or it comes from debt. If it comes from profit then ultimately it comes from the consumer who produced that profit for that company. If it comes from debt then it comes from the banks which derive the capitol from where? They derive it from consumers in the form of checking account and mortgage holders and retirement investors, etc. I’m bringing this up because I keep hearing the phrase “job creators” being thrown around with some vitriol and a certain ethereal emptiness accompanying it. So I have to wonder who these people are if they aren’t ultimately the average consumer.

Well, according to the GOP leadership and many conservative voters you’d think that the job creators were the wealthiest people and companies in America. Of course, that’s not true. It’s medium and small business that creates the majority of jobs in the U.S. in the form of hiring. Consumption of the products from these medium and small businesses drive that growth. Large corporations are driven more by things like economy of scale and monopolistic or duopolistic behavior than they are regular things like competition or innovation. In point of fact, corporations seem to profit in a more consistent way by not innovating or by innovating so slowly that it doesn’t look like innovation. Consider that in the U.S. the average broadband speed is circa 5mbps while in South Korea it’s circa 100 and this is despite Federal subsidies in the U.S. Somehow they just can’t get it done here though I think it’s more a matter of them not wanting to. It’s more profitable to drag the issue out over time and ask for more and more federal money while jacking the cost of poorer service. It’s anti-competitive at it’s core and, of course, that’s the point. It’s better for large corporations NOT to have competition or to simply have competition that doesn’t really compete but instead develops products in parallel. Thus, all phone companies come out with 4G/LTE phone speeds at basically the same time. While some of this is a technology development issue, much of it simply isn’t. But I digress.

If the GOP really believes that the wealthiest of the wealthy are the ones who create jobs then does it not stand to reason that these people essentially own the U.S. economy in terms of both the pace of innovation and the price of that innovation? If it is the case that the wealthy are the only ones that can save us through job creation (despite an absence of consumption and subsidy capitol produced locally) then does it stand to reason that we’ve really passed beyond the Plutocracy we’ve all come to know so well and entered into some sort of feudalistic system where large corporations function as nobles ruling over certain realms of the economy? I’m really not kidding here. There’s always been a drive towards authoritarian structure in the GOP and it seems to me that a sort of shift to monarchy wouldn’t be so far-fetched even if it didn’t operate under that name. The ideology behind the current Conservative movement being what it is where the wealthy basically deserve everything they can possibly take and that being evidence of their ‘hard work’ and therefore their status as the embodiment of the American Dream I really have to ask if this isn’t the final solution to American’s democracy problem. Indeed a return to feudalism where your labor is no longer something you can given to your country to build it up but where you’ll be providing it to the nearest multinational and seeing the fruits of that labor go straight overseas.  Who’s working for who here and if this is how it’s going to go then what’s the point of working at all beyond feeding yourself?  We used to think bigger as a nation.

I’ve seen the attitude changes over the years and it’s a race towards the bottom. In the town where I grew up we had a downtown that was thriving in the early 80s but then a mall was built and all those businesses died. Now in one sense it could be said that the downtown simply moved indoors at the mall except these weren’t local businesses so all the money made at the mall minus wages paid left the town and the state as well. There was no longer and reason or purpose to reinvesting that money locally. In the 90s, Wal-Mart moved in and by the end of the 90s it had essentially killed the mall as well. Wal-Mart was welcomed because it sold cheap goods and the per capita income in the area had dropped from what it had been. No one seemed to understand that so much of this was because local reinvestment by local businesses had stopped completely. That capital no longer existed and so the town had been sucked dry and still, the citizens were thankful for Wal-Mart’s presence. They were so thankful in fact that flash forward to today and they’re willing to defend Wal-Mart’s presence and the rights of every other large corporation that takes their money and capitol but provides cheap goods and low wage jobs. Make no mistake, these low wage jobs are needed but it’s a self fulfilling prophecy and a result of a kind of short-sighted consumerist greed.  Of course, the citizenry couldn’t really have know that this was the plan or that it would be the result but they also never really asked themselves what the result might be.  Totally to blame, not totally at fault.

I have an anecdote that I believe illustrates the change in psychology that we’ve seen in the last 30 years. In the mid-2000s I was having a discussion with a very close friend regarding the fact that the only local grocery store in his Southern town had been run out of business by a super Wal-Mart. I was expressing to him the notion that now the capitol that the local business had produced would leave the area and that they were getting screwed. His response? If Wal-Mart wasn’t in the area then he’d have to drive an hour to the second nearest store to do his grocery shopping. It didn’t even occur to him that if Wal-Mart wasn’t there then HE could open his own grocery store and make a million bucks. This is the worst form of corporate socialism where not only do citizens come to depend on faceless corporations but they stop believing that they can do these things for themselves. It’s the same exact problem that conservatives claim a welfare state produces except it’s real and ubiquitous.  If we depend on the King and his Dukes then we become vassals. We stop being the ultimate democratic decision makers and become helpless persons hoping for scraps from ‘ordained by God’ corporations, share croppers in our own hometowns.  Many of us simply trying to get by end up being thankful to monopolies and duopolies for their existence instead of engaging in the type of local Capitalism that’s supposed to make the U.S. great.

The problem is that we all know that the Duke never shares anything more than what it takes to keep the hounds away from his door. That doesn’t sound like a job creator to me.

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Terrifying video from Egypt

It appears that the hard slog has entered it’s second very real stage wherein the military altogether quits pretending it cares about Democracy.  This video was pretty difficult for me to watch, made me terribly angry to see 10, 15 guys beating unarmed men and women in the streets until they quit moving. 

This is what martyrdom looks like.

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Good vid from moveon.org

It’s been a nutty last couple of weeks what with the apparently unfounded claims of ‘indefinite detention’ for US persons in the NDAA, Dems beginning the caving process regarding the Keystone XL pipeline (to the dogs with you, water lovers!), and me spending 11 hours on the road, much of that lost, last Thursday.

I did see this vid with Mr. Reich though and felt it was a good summary of what I’d like to see happen if the big O is elected for a second term.

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Superman over the years

NPR’s got a great column on how different artists have interpreted Superman over the years.  It’s here.

I have to say, I really like the Gary Frank one.  I’ve never been a big Superman fan but given how iconic a character he is it’s interesting to think about how the ‘unchanging one’ has changed a bit even if he sort of still remains boring to me.  Below is some Gary Frank art from the interwebs.  Frank apparently based him largely on Christopher Reeve which is pretty interesting.

Grant Morrison’s run on the Justice League of America best illustrated the problem with writing comics with Superman in them.  Superman is basically more powerful than the entirety of the rest of the League which means there’s zero challenges for him and therefore zero challenges for the League as long as he’s with them.  He’s the ultimate fixer.  So, Morrison would basically have him get immediately pulled off panel doing some big thing like catching a falling space shuttle while the rest of the League actually got involved in the story.  Not dissing the S man.  Just interesting how, from a writer’s point of view, this was necessary to tell a more approachable story.

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Money, money, money

A couple of lovely examples here of just how bad money is for elections in a democratic government and I don’t mean too much private money.  I mean any private money.

I read this today and thought “wow, 90 million dollars is a lot of money to have raised when the economy is still so bad and no leadership is being shown on, well, much of anything.”

http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2011/12/barack-obama-fundraiser-every-five-days-2011

But then I read this little guy

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1011/65504.html

wherein I was treated to the horrorgasmic realization that Karl Rove and Le Bres Koch plan on raising 450 million dollars for conservative candidates in 2012 and that’s just what they’re raising.  We all knew this was coming given Citizens United but it’s still a staggering amount of money and it means that the President feels that he basically has to campaign nonstop until the election which is, of course, terrible because it means he’s not able to devote his full attention to his job.  Obviously, that’s bad but I don’t think that the solution is to implement tight campaign finance laws of some kind and wait for the leaks in it to appear so we can all go back to mitigating again.  I think the solution is a law that makes it illegal to contribute any private funds at all for any reason to any candidate’s campaign for a public office in the United States. From where I stand that’s the only solution.  This would accomplish several things.

  • It would eliminate the people who run for office simply to misuse their power for their own benefit of the benefit of a tiny group of interests.
  • It would replace fluff on our terrible, terrible airways with actual debates on substantive issues.
  • It would make EVERYONE currently in office with the exception of a very few completely enraged at the prospect of having to actually do the will of the people.
  • It would return the right of self determination to Americans as individuals rather than corporate persons having the largest say in our civic life.

It’s for the above reasons that everyone I’ve spoken to about this believes that it simply cannot happen and, in fact, some have tried to argue with me that we should be taking intermediate steps such as the diaspora of issues represented by the Occupy movement in the hopes doing so will mitigate the damage done to our democracy.  They are wrong.

The removal of private monies from elections of public office would be the single most important thing that this nation could possibly do for itself at this point in history.  A large number of issues that Occupy and the Tea Party are currently concerned with would be resolved with much haste once special interest money and terrible candidates were removed from our electoral life.  Imagine, we could actually form a real energy policy and maybe, just maybe we could impose tariffs on nations that suppress the true value of their currency without politicians going begging to job outsourcing businesses for re-election funds.

It’s the money and the candidates that are the problem.  Make no mistake about this.  This is what the Occupy Movement should be demanding.  There literally is nothing else.

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The Abomination Theory of Current Republican Forgetfulness

Higher, higher for purity!

I want to talk about what I see as an incorrigible consistency that hardline GOP voters have exhibited beginning in 2003 and that continues until today. While there’s lots that has been consistent what I’m specifically referring to here is their absolutely unmitigated enthusiasm and irrepressible self-assuredness. They may be wrong but they are never in doubt. By contrast, if the Democratic Party is consistent in anything it’s that the weight of bodies in the forum of ideas really makes it a difficult place to get any cohesive and passionate agreement to occur and to then translate into action. There are very few issues that do that and that’s because there are so many to choose from. So you don’t get Democrats who are absolutely self-assured (unless they’re college students). You generally get people who can see several sides to a question but ultimately decide on one of them while also accepting that it has flaws.

I want to ask this though, how did the GOP voter go from being for minimal taxation and high spending in 2003 to pro minimal to no taxation and high spending in 2011? That’s where we’re at. The spending appetites have not changed on the part of the GOP or the U.S. population generally. Oh sure, we want to cut a few things but mostly we want to feel that waste is being addressed and that the programs we care about are being run well and are paid for. The only way that can be done is through stronger government oversight of what are government programs (bigger or at least more powerful government) and through raising the revenues to pay for those basic programs. That’s it. There is no other option that’s actually on the table. And yet despite an entire two terms of GWB as President the GOP voter somehow still believes that they had it right. They can’t imagine how the deficits got so high. They simply can’t understand that wars and low taxes cost a hell of a lot of money. Shouldn’t the wealthy have created enough jobs to help us boom our way through this? Isn’t the fact that none of these economic policies worked proof that “the enemy” foiled them? Isn’t it proof of how right we Conservative voters actually are?

This is the same thinking as ‘they hate us for our freedoms’ and, while I don’t mean to harp on someone who’s such an easy target, that thinking strikes me very much as being the very precursor, the very catalyst for the current Republican forgetfulness. I remember that the Conservative side really bought into that idea at the time and now I don’t think you could find anyone that thinks about it anymore. I don’t think they do think about it anymore. This tells me that it was a proxy for an opinion, a way to have a viewpoint without actually forming one. It’s an absolute inability to address reality in any way but through a worldview that was conceived by someone else, a stranger, and it’s an unwillingness to actually examine any issue outside of a preconceived framework put together by someone else. This is a bit like being born anew in a way. If it’s not your worldview by virtue of experience and contemplation and you ultimately don’t really have an examined worldview at all as a result of that lack then once the one you adopted fails you simply adopt a new one and it becomes the process of adopting worldviews that is, in fact, your political practice. You end up defining your politics as whatever opposes your traditional enemy and with the adoption of each new worldview all the belief and faith in the old discarded ones are immediately placed into the new worldview and it’s like nothing ever happened. It’s like totaling your car, having your insurance replace it, and then claiming to everyone that you never wrecked your car and believing it. “This has always been my car.”

I admit that in 2008 I thought that a good deal of Conservatives were simply racist (remember that magic Negro crap, etc) but the truth is that they would have anointed any Democratic winner as the new Lucifer. It has (mostly) nothing to do with race (note the incredibly forgetful GOP reception of Herman Cain) and everything to do with the will to forget, to wash over, to transmute the reality of today into some other delirium. The responsibility must be shifted onto someone else as is the conservative way since the late 1980s. It is always them. It has always been them. It will always be them. It will never, ever be us and therefore how could we ever be wrong and how could they ever be right? Moving from that tautology there truly is no way to admit wrongdoing or fault and in that psychologically isolationist nightmare there’s no room for change. There’s no room for growth and there’s no room for a discussion because truly there is no such thing as growth and there is nothing to discuss. My goodness, how awful.

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What’ll I do? Meh, put it off.

raincheck?

http://motherjones.com/blue-marble/2011/11/obama-delays-decision-deadline-keystone-xl-until-post-election

You gotta love it.  Kicking this can down the road likely in the hopes that it will be forgotten or at least that those in opposition will be tired.  Maybe they will but I wouldn’t bet on it.  However, I would bet that this will get approved when it won’t cost him votes.  Of course there’s always the possibility that he just doesn’t want to make the oil lobby any angrier than it likely already is.  I mean, you’d be angry too if your profits were enormous.  It’s difficult to count that much money.

I currently find it unlikely that the President will listen to the people on this one.   Boss, you just keep breaking my heart.  Would it have been that much trouble for the President or any of his staff to actually call out the problems with this pipeline in a public way and say he’s going to think it over rather than the sort of blank “reviewing it” responses the White House has put out recently?

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First Senses Shattering Episode!!!

Good question, eh?

Ok, time to get this puppy rolling. I’m going to start this off with an issue that I’ve seen bandied back and forth for a bit now. Namely, the income tax rates on the wealthiest Americans post-Depression and into the fifties and sixties.  I’ll pretty much stick to the fifties because it’s not specific rates I’m worried about but an ‘era of rates’.  You’ll see what I mean in a minute.  If you’ve heard this discussed recently at all then you’ll recall that the percentage being discussed is “over 90%”.  That’s fine and it’s also true and, in this case, is close enough for work about the government.  I find this to be a perfectly fine tax rate for the wealthiest of my fellow Americans.  Doesn’t bother me one bit.  It does, however, seem to really bother those on the Right.  I know that undertaxing and overspending has become somewhat of a Republican blood sport over the last 12 or so years (skip some years then you get back to Reagan where the same thing begins again) but I simply cannot believe the dishonesty of some of the arguments that I’ve heard made.  Regardless, there is one misunderstanding that both the Left and Right are falling afoul of and that’s that the 90% is some sort of all encompassing flat tax.

If I make $10million smackers (clams or bones or whatever you call them) then under the 90% tax rate I’d get to keep $1million.  Right?  That seems like a lot doesn’t it?  A whole lot of money being taxed?  Here’s the thing, the tenor of much of the Republican commentary on taxation has made it sound like the above scenario is the correct one, that a tax rate that high isn’t just progressive, it’s punitive.  If this were the case then my oh my yes, I’d agree but it’s not the case.

The rate (90%) is the marginal rate.  It’s not an actual rate.  Please take a look at this link:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rate_schedule_%28federal_income_tax%29

So, marginal tax rates function a bit like Capital Gains.  If I sell a house dollars then the Capital Gains tax I pay on that is only paid on the amount over and above what I paid for it initially thus “gains”.  If I make a lot of money then the tax will be 15% if I make very little it’ll be 5%.  There’s more to it than that but for the purposes of this discussion the thing that’s important to pay attention to is the categories and the fact that the tax is on an amount above a certain number not on the entirety of the money.  It’s similar with marginal tax rates.  As you can see above, at each level taxation increases but it ONLY increases on that amount that increases across each bracket.  Thus, the 90% rate did not ever apply to the entirety of income made by the extremely wealthy during the glorious golden years of national consciousness (the ’50s).  But once you get to the very top bracket, in the 1950s you’d have been paying circa 90% on that amount that was in the top bracket but not on the amounts below the top.  Now, that fact has been used to make the argument by Peter Schiff that while the top marginal rates circa the ’50s were 90% nobody but nobody actually paid that!

http://youtu.be/UGL-Ex1CD1c

I predict that this argument will now sweep the Right as a way to dismiss higher marginal tax rates on the wealthiest 1% in this U.S.  Why?  Because it then enters the realm of ‘who knows’.  If the wealthiest Americans didn’t pay 90% but were actually able to write a bunch of stuff off then maybe, just maybe the current taxes paid are the same now as they were then!  Maybe I’ll end up overturning my own apple cart!  I love my apple cart!

I want to be clear.  No, this is not the case.  The highest rate now is 35% for the wealthiest Americans in the country.  Count in the deductions and tax shelters and most in the 1% only pay about 19% in actual personal income taxes.  To contrast that, estimates on what the 1% paid in the 1950s are around 40% actual which is roughly 20% higher than today and that’s in actual taxes paid.  This is why the wealthiest of Americans very often are able to pay less tax as a percentage of income than their middle-class compatriots (servants).  We don’t have nearly as much ability to write so much off.  See link following the rage graph.

http://robertreich.org/post/3317811319

I’m aware that Reich has been called the darling of liberal economists but thankfully Politifact also bothered to discuss this issue as it related to Michael Moore’s movie “Capitalism:  A Love Story”.

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2009/oct/02/michael-moore/michael-moores-film-capitalism-claims-richest-paid/

“Bob Williams of the Tax Policy Center did some math for us to give this some perspective.

In 1952 and 1953, Williams said, when the top income tax rate was 92 percent for income over $300,000, a person would have to make waaaay more than $300,000 to actually end up paying an average of 90 percent of their income. According to Williams, someone would have to make $2,328,400, and therefore pay $2,095,560, to get to that 90 percent threshold.

But people with income of less than $2.3 million — remember we’re talking about 1952 and 1953 — would have paid, on average, something less than 90 percent, and perhaps much less.

Still, Moore’s point is valid. The top marginal tax rates paid by the richest Americans were far higher in the 1950s than they are now. In 2009, the top marginal rate was 35 percent on income above $372,958. And although Moore didn’t use the term “marginal tax rate,” he did say “top tax rate.” People without CPAs might mistake that for a person’s average tax rate (it’s not), but it’s valid wording. And so we rule this one Mostly True.”

So, don’t allow yourself to get confused by any of this.  The bottom line is that the argument about higher tax rates on the wealthy not affecting the economy negatively overall is absolutely true.  There is no doubt about it given that this was essentially U.S. tax policy up until Reagan.

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